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Prediction for CME (2026-06-08T06:12:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2026-06-08T06:12ZDONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/46728/-1 CME Note: Faint CME observed to the E in SOHO LASCO C2 and STEREO A COR2, even more faintly in SOHO LASCO C3/GOES CCOR-1 due to it fading into the background after early frames. The source is likely an area of field line movement and dimming centered around S08E42, near AR 14464 (S12E35) starting around 2026-06-08T04:25Z in SDO AIA 171/193. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-06-11T20:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h) Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M) Prediction Method Note: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/46732/1 Model Inputs: 2026-06-08T06:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-51.0, Lat.=5.0, Speed=270.0, HalfAngle=27.0, Time21.5=2026-06-08T19:35Z Model Output: Earth Impact: Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2026-06-11T20:00Z (+- 7 hours) (kp)90=3 (kp)180=5 Other Location(s) Impact: BepiColombo with esitmated shock arrival time 2026-06-10T03:00Z Europa Clipper with esitmated shock arrival time 2026-06-13T12:00Z OSIRIS-APEX with esitmated shock arrival time 2026-06-12T08:00Z Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif Inner Planets Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Psyche_timeline.gif Timelines Link = https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/api/redirect?filename=20260608_193500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gifLead Time: 78.93 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Tony Iampietro (M2M SWAO) on 2026-06-08T13:04Z |
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